Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Sector

Thoresen Thai Agencies Public Company Limited (TTA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.01 - $40.65$28.84
Multi-Stage$15.87 - $17.33$16.59
Blended Fair Value$22.71
Current Price$4.74
Upside379.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.20%127.58%0.180.220.220.020.060.050.080.050.050.21
YoY Growth---18.18%0.00%999.97%-66.67%20.00%-33.34%50.01%0.00%-75.43%421,289.77%
Dividend Yield--4.51%3.49%2.94%0.22%0.49%2.69%1.50%0.65%0.53%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,303.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)400.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,902.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)460.64287.90172.74
Cash Retained (M)1,902.351,902.351,902.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-460.64-287.90-172.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,441.701,614.441,729.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,808.521,808.521,808.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.890.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.890.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.62%10.62%10.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.01$28.84$40.65
Upside / Downside343.29%508.37%757.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,303.222,452.932,612.372,782.172,963.013,155.613,250.28
Payout Ratio17.40%31.92%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)400.87783.071,213.261,696.072,236.512,840.053,006.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.62%10.62%10.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)701.27707.92714.57
Year 2 PV (M)973.03991.571,010.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,218.161,253.131,288.76
Year 4 PV (M)1,438.531,493.851,550.75
Year 5 PV (M)1,635.911,714.921,796.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,740.2223,838.5824,978.98
Equity Value (M)28,707.1229,999.9731,340.29
Shares Outstanding (M)1,808.521,808.521,808.52
Fair Value$15.87$16.59$17.33
Upside / Downside234.88%249.96%265.60%

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