Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$344.39 - $405.75$380.24
Multi-Stage$76.70 - $83.89$80.23
Blended Fair Value$230.24
Current Price$22.86
Upside907.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.66%11.16%1.581.461.440.911.391.041.021.010.860.83
YoY Growth--8.38%1.46%57.36%-34.19%33.03%2.24%1.28%17.94%2.85%51.39%
Dividend Yield--7.07%6.90%7.86%3.93%6.61%7.50%5.07%5.65%4.19%5.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)163.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.3123.9414.37
Cash Retained (M)28.2328.2328.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.31-23.94-14.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.084.2913.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.8993.8993.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.050.15
LTM Dividend per Share1.741.741.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.050.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.631.791.89
WACC / Discount Rate5.82%5.82%5.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$344.39$380.24$405.75
Upside / Downside1,406.51%1,563.36%1,674.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.55204.00217.26231.38246.42262.44270.31
Payout Ratio85.26%86.21%87.16%88.10%89.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)163.32175.87189.36203.86219.44236.19250.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.82%5.82%5.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)164.63166.19167.75
Year 2 PV (M)165.93169.09172.28
Year 3 PV (M)167.22172.02176.91
Year 4 PV (M)168.50174.98181.65
Year 5 PV (M)169.77177.97186.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,364.876,672.306,991.49
Equity Value (M)7,200.927,532.547,876.56
Shares Outstanding (M)93.8993.8993.89
Fair Value$76.70$80.23$83.89
Upside / Downside235.51%250.96%266.99%

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