Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TransUnion (TRU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.70 - $423.96$246.86
Multi-Stage$49.63 - $54.32$51.93
Blended Fair Value$149.40
Current Price$83.78
Upside78.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.80%0.00%0.420.410.390.350.290.290.210.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.10%5.14%11.46%21.18%1.41%36.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.52%0.63%0.34%0.32%0.44%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)420.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)331.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.1052.5631.54
Cash Retained (M)331.20331.20331.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.10-52.56-31.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.10278.64299.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.25197.25197.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.251.411.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.251.411.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.711.871.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$99.70$246.86$423.96
Upside / Downside19.00%194.65%406.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)420.50447.83476.94507.94540.96576.12593.41
Payout Ratio21.24%34.99%48.74%62.49%76.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.30156.69232.47317.44412.47518.51548.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)144.66146.03147.40
Year 2 PV (M)198.12201.90205.71
Year 3 PV (M)249.75256.92264.23
Year 4 PV (M)299.59311.11322.96
Year 5 PV (M)347.68364.47381.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,550.008,962.979,391.74
Equity Value (M)9,789.7910,243.3910,713.94
Shares Outstanding (M)197.25197.25197.25
Fair Value$49.63$51.93$54.32
Upside / Downside-40.76%-38.02%-35.17%

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