Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Trisul S.A. (TRIS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201.68 - $237.61$222.67
Multi-Stage$43.09 - $47.21$45.11
Blended Fair Value$133.89
Current Price$7.34
Upside1,724.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.47%13.67%0.200.140.220.250.220.110.070.050.050.06
YoY Growth--44.09%-37.47%-11.19%12.49%100.00%63.27%28.95%0.00%-5.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.47%7.32%5.19%2.28%1.55%1.44%1.81%4.00%3.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)213.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)159.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42.6526.6615.99
Cash Retained (M)159.26159.26159.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-42.65-26.66-15.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.61132.60143.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)178.50178.50178.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.650.740.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.650.740.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate5.85%5.85%5.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$201.68$222.67$237.61
Upside / Downside2,647.63%2,933.70%3,137.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)213.26227.12241.88257.61274.35292.18300.95
Payout Ratio25.32%38.26%51.19%64.13%77.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.0086.89123.83165.20211.43262.97278.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.85%5.85%5.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)81.3282.0982.86
Year 2 PV (M)108.45110.52112.61
Year 3 PV (M)135.41139.30143.26
Year 4 PV (M)162.19168.43174.84
Year 5 PV (M)188.79197.91207.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,014.537,353.337,705.10
Equity Value (M)7,690.698,051.578,426.05
Shares Outstanding (M)178.50178.50178.50
Fair Value$43.09$45.11$47.21
Upside / Downside487.00%514.55%543.13%

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