Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Trinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No (TRINL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.64 - $38.71$30.36
Multi-Stage$72.36 - $79.86$76.04
Blended Fair Value$53.20
Current Price$14.07
Upside278.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.561.200.000.380.160.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.11%0.00%-100.00%140.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.27%8.26%0.00%1.96%1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)142.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)112.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.4017.7510.65
Cash Retained (M)112.89112.89112.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.40-17.75-10.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.4995.14102.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.8465.8465.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.451.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.451.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.731.891.99
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$23.64$30.36$38.71
Upside / Downside67.99%115.78%175.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)142.00140.58139.18137.79136.41135.04139.10
Payout Ratio20.50%34.40%48.30%62.20%76.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.1148.3667.2285.70103.81121.54128.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)45.5345.9946.45
Year 2 PV (M)59.5760.7962.03
Year 3 PV (M)71.5073.7175.97
Year 4 PV (M)81.5284.9088.39
Year 5 PV (M)89.8694.5499.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,416.614,646.594,886.06
Equity Value (M)4,764.595,006.535,258.30
Shares Outstanding (M)65.8465.8465.84
Fair Value$72.36$76.04$79.86
Upside / Downside414.32%440.43%467.61%

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