Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Turners Automotive Group Limited (TRA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.93 - $123.62$115.85
Multi-Stage$17.11 - $18.72$17.90
Blended Fair Value$66.87
Current Price$5.30
Upside1,161.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.45%10.62%0.150.250.220.160.190.170.170.130.100.09
YoY Growth---37.59%10.35%44.49%-19.94%16.67%-3.10%33.26%32.83%13.15%52.04%
Dividend Yield--2.92%5.17%6.78%4.43%6.26%7.70%5.69%4.05%2.98%2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.016.884.13
Cash Retained (M)33.4133.4133.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.01-6.88-4.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.3926.5229.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)88.6088.6088.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.93$115.85$123.62
Upside / Downside710.03%2,085.81%2,232.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.0758.6562.4666.5270.8575.4577.71
Payout Ratio39.34%49.47%59.60%69.74%79.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.6629.0137.2346.3956.5867.9171.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)26.9327.1927.44
Year 2 PV (M)32.0832.6933.30
Year 3 PV (M)37.1038.1639.25
Year 4 PV (M)42.0043.6245.28
Year 5 PV (M)46.7949.0551.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,330.801,395.081,461.81
Equity Value (M)1,515.701,585.781,658.48
Shares Outstanding (M)88.6088.6088.60
Fair Value$17.11$17.90$18.72
Upside / Downside222.79%237.72%253.20%

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