DDM Analysis: TPX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$265.20 - $312.45	$292.81
Multi-Stage	$95.31 - $104.49	$99.82
Blended Fair Value	$196.31
Current Price	$57.60
Upside	240.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.64%	0.00%	0.12	0.39	0.35	0.31	0.10	0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-68.73%	10.21%	11.73%	226.94%	44.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.21%	0.70%	0.89%	1.13%	0.26%	0.61%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	315.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	132.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	182.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	63.04	39.40	23.64
Cash Retained (M)	182.80	182.80	182.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-63.04	-39.40	-23.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	119.76	143.40	159.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	200.63	200.63	200.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.60	0.71	0.79
LTM Dividend per Share	0.66	0.66	0.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.60	0.71	0.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.26	1.37	1.45
WACC / Discount Rate	4.73%	4.73%	4.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$265.20	$292.81	$312.45
Upside / Downside	360.42%	408.35%	442.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	315.20	335.69	357.51	380.75	405.49	431.85	444.81
Payout Ratio	42.01%	51.60%	61.20%	70.80%	80.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	132.40	173.23	218.81	269.58	326.02	388.67	411.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.73%	4.73%	4.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	163.85	165.40	166.95
Year 2 PV (M)	195.75	199.48	203.24
Year 3 PV (M)	228.11	234.66	241.33
Year 4 PV (M)	260.93	270.97	281.29
Year 5 PV (M)	294.23	308.44	323.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)	17,978.11	18,846.46	19,748.04
Equity Value (M)	19,120.98	20,025.41	20,964.06
Shares Outstanding (M)	200.63	200.63	200.63
Fair Value	$95.31	$99.82	$104.49
Upside / Downside	65.46%	73.29%	81.41%

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Tempur Sealy International, Inc. (TPX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener