Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TIM S.A. (TIMS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$281.11 - $331.19$310.38
Multi-Stage$59.52 - $65.10$62.26
Blended Fair Value$186.32
Current Price$23.50
Upside692.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.71%12.52%1.120.900.500.430.480.320.240.140.190.15
YoY Growth--25.07%81.36%14.98%-9.55%49.72%30.92%76.83%-27.73%27.71%-56.88%
Dividend Yield--6.25%5.05%3.94%3.13%3.76%2.56%2.06%0.97%1.88%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,028.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,311.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)717.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)805.79503.62302.17
Cash Retained (M)717.64717.64717.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-805.79-503.62-302.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-88.14214.03415.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,419.282,419.282,419.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.090.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.371.371.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.090.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate5.96%5.96%5.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$281.11$310.38$331.19
Upside / Downside1,096.21%1,220.76%1,309.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,028.934,290.814,569.714,866.745,183.085,519.985,685.58
Payout Ratio82.19%83.75%85.31%86.88%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,311.283,593.563,898.544,227.984,583.794,967.985,259.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.96%5.96%5.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,359.483,391.323,423.17
Year 2 PV (M)3,407.193,472.093,537.60
Year 3 PV (M)3,454.423,553.593,654.63
Year 4 PV (M)3,501.183,635.823,774.32
Year 5 PV (M)3,547.463,718.803,896.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)126,730.55132,851.68139,207.08
Equity Value (M)144,000.28150,623.31157,493.50
Shares Outstanding (M)2,419.282,419.282,419.28
Fair Value$59.52$62.26$65.10
Upside / Downside153.28%164.93%177.02%

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