DDM Analysis: TGKA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4,134.52 - $6,438.14	$5,197.79
Multi-Stage	$5,377.76 - $5,869.71	$5,619.21
Blended Fair Value	$5,408.50
Current Price	$5,650.00
Upside	-4.27%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.48%	15.24%	312.00	355.00	295.00	360.00	285.00	239.00	160.00	115.00	106.50	94.50
YoY Growth	-	-	-12.11%	20.34%	-18.06%	26.32%	19.25%	49.38%	39.13%	7.98%	12.70%	25.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.16%	5.24%	4.45%	5.12%	3.61%	4.60%	4.57%	4.51%	4.02%	3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	385,135.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	275,548.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	109,587.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	77,027.00	48,141.88	28,885.13
Cash Retained (M)	109,587.00	109,587.00	109,587.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-77,027.00	-48,141.88	-28,885.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	32,560.00	61,445.13	80,701.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	918.49	918.49	918.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	35.45	66.90	87.86
LTM Dividend per Share	300.00	300.00	300.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	35.45	66.90	87.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend	335.45	366.90	387.86
WACC / Discount Rate	9.75%	9.75%	9.75%
Growth Rate	1.51%	2.51%	3.51%
Fair Value	$4,134.52	$5,197.79	$6,438.14
Upside / Downside	-26.82%	-8.00%	13.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	385,135.00	394,808.61	404,725.20	414,890.87	425,311.87	435,994.62	449,074.46
Payout Ratio	71.55%	75.24%	78.93%	82.62%	86.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	275,548.00	297,040.80	319,439.45	342,775.90	367,083.12	392,395.16	415,393.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.75%	9.75%	9.75%
Growth Rate	1.51%	2.51%	3.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	268,017.44	270,657.70	273,297.96
Year 2 PV (M)	260,065.32	265,214.40	270,413.96
Year 3 PV (M)	251,797.32	259,312.29	266,975.32
Year 4 PV (M)	243,305.64	253,035.54	263,054.38
Year 5 PV (M)	234,670.42	246,459.19	258,717.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,681,579.70	3,866,525.44	4,058,830.26
Equity Value (M)	4,939,435.85	5,161,204.56	5,391,288.92
Shares Outstanding (M)	918.49	918.49	918.49
Fair Value	$5,377.76	$5,619.21	$5,869.71
Upside / Downside	-4.82%	-0.54%	3.89%

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PT Tigaraksa Satria Tbk (TGKA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener