Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Textainer Group Holdings Limited (TGH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.75 - $177.25$119.72
Multi-Stage$151.52 - $166.59$158.91
Blended Fair Value$139.31
Current Price$49.20
Upside183.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%-3.77%1.671.550.520.000.000.000.000.682.212.50
YoY Growth--7.31%196.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-69.44%-11.79%2.35%
Dividend Yield--3.39%4.83%1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.41%14.88%8.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)204.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)133.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.9325.5815.35
Cash Retained (M)133.73133.73133.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.93-25.58-15.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.79108.14118.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.6042.6042.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.182.542.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.671.671.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.182.542.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.44
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Fair Value$84.75$119.72$177.25
Upside / Downside72.25%143.34%260.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)204.67208.93213.29217.73222.27226.90233.71
Payout Ratio34.66%45.73%56.80%67.86%78.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.9495.55121.14147.76175.44204.21216.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Year 1 PV (M)89.5390.4291.31
Year 2 PV (M)106.38108.49110.63
Year 3 PV (M)121.59125.24128.95
Year 4 PV (M)135.29140.72146.31
Year 5 PV (M)147.56155.01162.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,853.766,149.106,456.23
Equity Value (M)6,454.116,768.977,096.19
Shares Outstanding (M)42.6042.6042.60
Fair Value$151.52$158.91$166.59
Upside / Downside207.96%222.98%238.60%

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