Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Teka Construction Public Company Limited (TEKA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.35 - $29.75$14.13
Multi-Stage$14.56 - $16.08$15.31
Blended Fair Value$14.72
Current Price$1.70
Upside765.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-23.52%0.00%0.110.130.550.000.360.401.770.110.000.00
YoY Growth---19.23%-76.36%0.00%-100.00%-10.70%-77.30%1,503.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%6.03%17.22%0.00%7.80%8.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.636.023.61
Cash Retained (M)1.661.661.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.63-6.02-3.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.97-4.36-1.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)299.43299.43299.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.01-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.01-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate-0.01%-0.01%-0.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.35$14.13$29.75
Upside / Downside273.54%731.43%1,650.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.1647.6847.2046.7346.2645.8047.17
Payout Ratio96.55%95.24%93.93%92.62%91.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.5045.4144.3443.2842.2441.2243.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.01%-0.01%-0.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44.9645.4245.87
Year 2 PV (M)43.4644.3545.25
Year 3 PV (M)42.0043.3044.62
Year 4 PV (M)40.5842.2744.00
Year 5 PV (M)39.2141.2543.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,150.464,366.584,591.62
Equity Value (M)4,360.664,583.164,814.74
Shares Outstanding (M)299.43299.43299.43
Fair Value$14.56$15.31$16.08
Upside / Downside756.67%800.38%845.88%

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