Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Thai Eastern Group Holdings Public Company Limited (TEGH.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.50 - $6.67$5.54
Multi-Stage$8.31 - $9.14$8.72
Blended Fair Value$7.13
Current Price$3.22
Upside121.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.260.750.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---61.54%-65.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.34%8.29%16.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)610.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)226.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)384.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)122.1676.3545.81
Cash Retained (M)384.00384.00384.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-122.16-76.35-45.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)261.84307.65338.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,078.611,078.611,078.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.500.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.50$5.54$6.67
Upside / Downside39.88%72.01%107.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)610.80604.69598.64592.66586.73580.86598.29
Payout Ratio37.13%47.71%58.28%68.85%79.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)226.80288.47348.88408.06466.02522.78553.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)264.75267.46270.16
Year 2 PV (M)293.88299.91306.00
Year 3 PV (M)315.47325.22335.18
Year 4 PV (M)330.66344.36358.49
Year 5 PV (M)340.43358.16376.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,420.197,806.588,208.89
Equity Value (M)8,965.389,401.689,855.33
Shares Outstanding (M)1,078.611,078.611,078.61
Fair Value$8.31$8.72$9.14
Upside / Downside158.14%170.70%183.76%

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