Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

T.A.C. Consumer Public Company Limited (TACC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.43 - $88.90$35.78
Multi-Stage$11.39 - $12.44$11.91
Blended Fair Value$23.84
Current Price$4.32
Upside451.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.16%0.00%0.390.360.350.320.270.190.130.170.100.15
YoY Growth--6.94%2.84%9.86%18.53%41.43%46.15%-23.53%70.01%-32.04%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.74%7.50%5.91%4.33%3.43%6.25%3.23%3.57%1.19%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)269.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.9433.7220.23
Cash Retained (M)35.9735.9735.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.94-33.72-20.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.972.2615.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate4.90%5.90%6.90%
Fair Value$17.43$35.78$88.90
Upside / Downside303.51%728.27%1,957.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)269.72285.63302.48320.32339.22359.23370.01
Payout Ratio86.66%87.33%88.00%88.67%89.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233.75249.44266.18284.02303.03323.31342.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate4.90%5.90%6.90%
Year 1 PV (M)230.79232.99235.19
Year 2 PV (M)227.85232.21236.62
Year 3 PV (M)224.94231.43238.05
Year 4 PV (M)222.05230.64239.47
Year 5 PV (M)219.19229.83240.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,710.585,988.026,276.13
Equity Value (M)6,835.397,145.127,466.35
Shares Outstanding (M)600.00600.00600.00
Fair Value$11.39$11.91$12.44
Upside / Downside163.71%175.66%188.05%

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