Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Symphony Communication Public Company Limited (SYMC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.69 - $31.00$15.63
Multi-Stage$9.20 - $10.07$9.63
Blended Fair Value$12.63
Current Price$3.96
Upside218.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.18%-9.63%0.140.090.070.050.020.030.000.000.010.27
YoY Growth--56.01%24.67%36.38%161.91%-30.07%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-97.62%-32.72%
Dividend Yield--2.95%1.08%1.28%0.76%0.34%1.74%0.00%0.00%0.05%3.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.6020.3812.23
Cash Retained (M)94.1294.1294.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.60-20.38-12.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.5273.7481.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.67440.67440.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate3.62%4.62%5.62%
Fair Value$9.69$15.63$31.00
Upside / Downside144.60%294.81%682.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.02170.55178.43186.68195.30204.33210.46
Payout Ratio42.26%51.81%61.36%70.90%80.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.8988.36109.48132.36157.13183.90194.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate3.62%4.62%5.62%
Year 1 PV (M)81.9582.7583.54
Year 2 PV (M)94.1896.0197.85
Year 3 PV (M)105.61108.69111.84
Year 4 PV (M)116.28120.83125.52
Year 5 PV (M)126.22132.43138.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,528.143,701.703,882.02
Equity Value (M)4,052.384,242.404,439.65
Shares Outstanding (M)440.67440.67440.67
Fair Value$9.20$9.63$10.07
Upside / Downside132.22%143.11%154.41%

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