Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Solvar Limited (SVR.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.12 - $45.73$15.43
Multi-Stage$6.45 - $7.06$6.75
Blended Fair Value$11.09
Current Price$1.68
Upside560.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.21%18.63%0.110.130.130.120.060.080.060.050.030.03
YoY Growth---13.83%-4.41%6.59%117.42%-29.20%25.39%39.92%37.07%22.94%38.21%
Dividend Yield--6.43%11.61%8.46%6.28%1.69%5.16%3.02%2.34%2.60%2.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.706.063.64
Cash Retained (M)8.248.248.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.70-6.06-3.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.462.184.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)208.40208.40208.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate4.21%5.21%6.21%
Fair Value$8.12$15.43$45.73
Upside / Downside383.53%818.43%2,622.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.5151.0353.6956.4959.4362.5264.40
Payout Ratio83.01%84.41%85.81%87.20%88.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.2743.0846.0749.2652.6556.2759.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate4.21%5.21%6.21%
Year 1 PV (M)40.0340.4140.79
Year 2 PV (M)39.7840.5441.32
Year 3 PV (M)39.5240.6741.84
Year 4 PV (M)39.2540.7842.35
Year 5 PV (M)38.9840.8842.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,147.321,203.431,261.73
Equity Value (M)1,344.871,406.721,470.90
Shares Outstanding (M)208.40208.40208.40
Fair Value$6.45$6.75$7.06
Upside / Downside284.13%301.79%320.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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