Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Strawberry Fields REIT LLC (STRW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Healthcare FacilitiesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.98 - $14.11$10.58
Multi-Stage$44.71 - $49.37$46.99
Blended Fair Value$28.79
Current Price$12.30
Upside134.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.350.250.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--40.49%350.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.96%3.15%0.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.400.880.53
Cash Retained (M)2.052.052.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.40-0.88-0.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.651.181.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4611.4611.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.100.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate4.02%4.02%4.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.98$10.58$14.11
Upside / Downside-35.09%-13.99%14.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.026.956.886.826.756.686.88
Payout Ratio70.76%74.61%78.45%82.30%86.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.975.195.405.615.816.016.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.02%4.02%4.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.944.995.04
Year 2 PV (M)4.894.995.09
Year 3 PV (M)4.834.985.14
Year 4 PV (M)4.774.975.17
Year 5 PV (M)4.694.945.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)488.37513.80540.28
Equity Value (M)512.49538.67565.91
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4611.4611.46
Fair Value$44.71$46.99$49.37
Upside / Downside263.49%282.05%301.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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