Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Sino-Thai Engineering and Construction Public Company Limited (STEC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.49 - $2.30$1.86
Multi-Stage$2.62 - $2.87$2.74
Blended Fair Value$2.30
Current Price$9.20
Upside-74.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%28.37%0.300.250.300.300.500.000.220.330.400.50
YoY Growth--19.99%-16.66%-0.01%-40.00%0.00%-100.00%-33.31%-17.53%-20.00%1,924.63%
Dividend Yield--2.94%1.98%2.24%1.90%4.39%0.00%1.15%1.37%1.76%2.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)240.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)228.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.0430.0318.02
Cash Retained (M)11.4411.4411.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.04-30.03-18.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)-36.60-18.59-6.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,525.111,525.111,525.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Fair Value$1.49$1.86$2.30
Upside / Downside-83.84%-79.74%-75.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)240.20241.29242.39243.49244.59245.70253.07
Payout Ratio95.24%94.19%93.14%92.10%91.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)228.77227.28225.77224.24222.69221.13234.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)208.58210.67212.77
Year 2 PV (M)190.15193.99197.87
Year 3 PV (M)173.32178.60183.99
Year 4 PV (M)157.97164.41171.06
Year 5 PV (M)143.95151.33159.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,122.513,282.683,449.36
Equity Value (M)3,996.474,181.694,374.07
Shares Outstanding (M)1,525.111,525.111,525.11
Fair Value$2.62$2.74$2.87
Upside / Downside-71.52%-70.20%-68.83%

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