Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Steel Connect, Inc. (STCN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.69 - $7.89$6.80
Multi-Stage$11.36 - $12.55$11.94
Blended Fair Value$9.37
Current Price$10.61
Upside-11.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.413.382.03
Cash Retained (M)26.5226.5226.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.41-3.38-2.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.1123.1424.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.7326.7326.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.870.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.870.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate-5.32%-4.32%-3.32%
Fair Value$5.69$6.80$7.89
Upside / Downside-46.35%-35.94%-25.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.0525.8924.7723.7022.6821.7022.35
Payout Ratio1.98%19.59%37.19%54.79%72.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.545.079.2112.9916.4219.5320.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate-5.32%-4.32%-3.32%
Year 1 PV (M)4.644.694.74
Year 2 PV (M)7.717.888.04
Year 3 PV (M)9.9510.2710.59
Year 4 PV (M)11.5112.0012.51
Year 5 PV (M)12.5213.2013.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)257.34271.21285.69
Equity Value (M)303.66319.24335.47
Shares Outstanding (M)26.7326.7326.73
Fair Value$11.36$11.94$12.55
Upside / Downside7.09%12.58%18.30%

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