Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shaver Shop Group Limited (SSG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.16 - $5.59$4.19
Multi-Stage$3.40 - $3.71$3.55
Blended Fair Value$3.87
Current Price$1.34
Upside188.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.58%0.00%0.100.100.100.090.080.020.040.040.020.14
YoY Growth--1.50%0.37%8.43%19.65%221.84%-43.28%2.80%162.43%-88.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.42%8.45%10.33%9.23%7.52%3.34%9.37%8.91%2.41%12.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.013.762.25
Cash Retained (M)4.184.184.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.01-3.76-2.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.830.431.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)131.01131.01131.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Fair Value$3.16$4.19$5.59
Upside / Downside135.88%212.52%316.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.0531.3932.7934.2635.7937.3938.51
Payout Ratio86.08%86.86%87.65%88.43%89.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.8627.2728.7430.3031.9333.6535.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Year 1 PV (M)24.6724.9125.14
Year 2 PV (M)23.5223.9824.44
Year 3 PV (M)22.4323.0923.76
Year 4 PV (M)21.3922.2323.09
Year 5 PV (M)20.3921.4022.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)333.33349.76366.82
Equity Value (M)445.74465.36485.70
Shares Outstanding (M)131.01131.01131.01
Fair Value$3.40$3.55$3.71
Upside / Downside153.90%165.08%176.66%

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