Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Sogn Sparebank (SOGN.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29,717.61 - $35,012.38$32,811.72
Multi-Stage$11,413.33 - $12,521.48$11,957.08
Blended Fair Value$22,384.40
Current Price$255.00
Upside8,678.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS49.63%16.52%15.0010.005.386.360.002.000.003.004.003.25
YoY Growth--50.01%85.76%-15.38%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-24.98%23.05%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.91%5.46%3.32%4.24%0.00%2.09%0.00%3.77%5.18%4.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.2713.928.35
Cash Retained (M)98.7098.7098.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.27-13.92-8.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.4384.7890.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share120.84134.04142.85
LTM Dividend per Share20.0020.0020.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share120.84134.04142.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend140.84154.05162.85
WACC / Discount Rate4.61%4.61%4.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29,717.61$32,811.72$35,012.38
Upside / Downside11,553.96%12,767.34%13,630.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111.35118.59126.30134.51143.25152.56157.14
Payout Ratio11.36%27.09%42.82%58.54%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6532.1354.0878.75106.40137.31145.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.61%4.61%4.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)30.4230.7131.00
Year 2 PV (M)48.4949.4250.35
Year 3 PV (M)66.8768.7970.75
Year 4 PV (M)85.5688.8592.24
Year 5 PV (M)104.56109.61114.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,883.027,215.477,560.65
Equity Value (M)7,218.937,562.857,919.84
Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
Fair Value$11,413.33$11,957.08$12,521.48
Upside / Downside4,375.81%4,589.05%4,810.38%

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