Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$305.76 - $1,664.76$555.07
Multi-Stage$180.89 - $197.87$189.22
Blended Fair Value$372.15
Current Price$148.07
Upside151.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.51%39.56%1.651.561.370.600.250.920.710.500.400.27
YoY Growth--5.91%13.42%128.65%141.90%-72.87%28.28%42.82%23.99%49.28%358.51%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.50%1.42%0.59%0.26%1.46%1.45%0.81%0.69%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)774.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)629.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)154.8196.7658.05
Cash Retained (M)629.61629.61629.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-154.81-96.76-58.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)474.80532.85571.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.7283.7283.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.676.376.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.676.376.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.408.098.55
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$305.76$555.07$1,664.76
Upside / Downside106.50%274.87%1,024.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)774.06824.37877.95935.02995.801,060.521,092.34
Payout Ratio18.66%32.93%47.20%61.46%75.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.44271.45414.36574.70754.14954.471,010.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.05%8.05%8.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)248.86251.22253.58
Year 2 PV (M)348.27354.91361.60
Year 3 PV (M)442.84455.56468.51
Year 4 PV (M)532.75553.24574.31
Year 5 PV (M)618.17648.03679.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,952.5613,578.1714,227.73
Equity Value (M)15,143.4615,841.1216,564.76
Shares Outstanding (M)83.7283.7283.72
Fair Value$180.89$189.22$197.87
Upside / Downside22.17%27.79%33.63%

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