Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

SMU S.A. (SMU.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$204.94 - $422.83$288.08
Multi-Stage$261.19 - $286.32$273.52
Blended Fair Value$280.80
Current Price$160.52
Upside74.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.57%0.00%9.0810.8616.899.964.501.710.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---16.46%-35.69%69.58%121.14%162.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.16%6.39%11.59%11.07%3.82%1.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,334.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31,642.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)35,692.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,466.988,416.865,050.12
Cash Retained (M)35,692.8735,692.8735,692.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,466.98-8,416.86-5,050.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,225.8927,276.0130,642.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,763.215,763.215,763.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.864.735.32
LTM Dividend per Share5.495.495.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.864.735.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.3510.2210.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate2.30%3.30%4.30%
Fair Value$204.94$288.08$422.83
Upside / Downside27.67%79.47%163.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,334.8969,560.1371,858.9174,233.6776,686.9079,221.2181,597.84
Payout Ratio46.99%55.59%64.20%72.80%81.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31,642.0238,670.9946,129.9854,039.7462,421.9171,299.0975,478.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate2.30%3.30%4.30%
Year 1 PV (M)35,801.0636,151.0136,500.95
Year 2 PV (M)39,537.0840,313.7941,098.05
Year 3 PV (M)42,879.0644,148.7845,443.33
Year 4 PV (M)45,854.2747,673.5849,546.49
Year 5 PV (M)48,488.3450,904.9353,416.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,292,727.431,357,154.931,424,125.97
Equity Value (M)1,505,287.241,576,347.011,650,131.70
Shares Outstanding (M)5,763.215,763.215,763.21
Fair Value$261.19$273.52$286.32
Upside / Downside62.71%70.40%78.37%

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