DDM Analysis: SMSM.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32,447.92 - $38,229.15	$35,826.31
Multi-Stage	$27,892.63 - $30,597.81	$29,220.01
Blended Fair Value	$32,523.16
Current Price	$1,910.00
Upside	1,602.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.41%	13.29%	135.00	105.00	84.94	70.00	59.00	58.00	52.00	50.00	48.75	31.25
YoY Growth	-	-	28.57%	23.61%	21.35%	18.64%	1.72%	11.54%	4.00%	2.56%	56.00%	-19.35%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.94%	5.36%	5.50%	4.93%	4.40%	5.02%	3.21%	3.72%	4.49%	2.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,106,973.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,007,768.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	99,205.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	221,394.60	138,371.63	83,022.98
Cash Retained (M)	99,205.00	99,205.00	99,205.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-221,394.60	-138,371.63	-83,022.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-122,189.60	-39,166.63	16,182.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,758.68	5,758.68	5,758.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-21.22	-6.80	2.81
LTM Dividend per Share	175.00	175.00	175.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-21.22	-6.80	2.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend	153.78	168.20	177.81
WACC / Discount Rate	-2.23%	-2.23%	-2.23%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$32,447.92	$35,826.31	$38,229.15
Upside / Downside	1,598.84%	1,775.72%	1,901.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,106,973.00	1,178,926.25	1,255,556.45	1,337,167.62	1,424,083.52	1,516,648.94	1,562,148.41
Payout Ratio	91.04%	90.83%	90.62%	90.42%	90.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,007,768.00	1,070,825.06	1,137,821.72	1,209,003.71	1,284,632.06	1,364,984.05	1,444,987.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-2.23%	-2.23%	-2.23%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,084,976.39	1,095,260.53	1,105,544.66
Year 2 PV (M)	1,168,093.86	1,190,342.77	1,212,801.57
Year 3 PV (M)	1,257,572.17	1,293,672.55	1,330,457.27
Year 4 PV (M)	1,353,897.55	1,405,964.63	1,459,519.23
Year 5 PV (M)	1,457,593.37	1,527,995.68	1,601,092.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	154,302,454.01	161,755,320.23	169,493,425.19
Equity Value (M)	160,624,587.35	168,268,556.38	176,202,840.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,758.68	5,758.68	5,758.68
Fair Value	$27,892.63	$29,220.01	$30,597.81
Upside / Downside	1,360.35%	1,429.84%	1,501.98%

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Financial Statements

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PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener