DDM Analysis: SMCB.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$772.37 - $1,172.75	$960.48
Multi-Stage	$1,610.58 - $1,771.66	$1,689.54
Blended Fair Value	$1,325.01
Current Price	$775.00
Upside	70.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	-8.91%	29.07	27.22	23.93	21.59	3.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	11.31	26.27
YoY Growth	-	-	6.82%	13.75%	10.81%	606.42%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-56.93%	-64.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.75%	2.09%	1.81%	1.24%	0.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.25%	2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	797,079.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	363,167.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	433,912.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	159,415.80	99,634.88	59,780.93
Cash Retained (M)	433,912.00	433,912.00	433,912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-159,415.80	-99,634.88	-59,780.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	274,496.20	334,277.13	374,131.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9,019.38	9,019.38	9,019.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	30.43	37.06	41.48
LTM Dividend per Share	40.27	40.27	40.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share	30.43	37.06	41.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend	70.70	77.33	81.75
WACC / Discount Rate	6.97%	6.97%	6.97%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$772.37	$960.48	$1,172.75
Upside / Downside	-0.34%	23.93%	51.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	797,079.00	789,108.21	781,217.13	773,404.96	765,670.91	758,014.20	780,754.62
Payout Ratio	45.56%	54.45%	63.34%	72.22%	81.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	363,167.00	429,667.74	494,802.15	558,590.91	621,054.41	682,212.78	722,198.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.97%	6.97%	6.97%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	397,612.39	401,669.66	405,726.93
Year 2 PV (M)	423,726.77	432,418.38	441,198.22
Year 3 PV (M)	442,665.17	456,354.89	470,323.98
Year 4 PV (M)	455,447.48	474,323.65	493,780.57
Year 5 PV (M)	462,973.00	487,081.08	512,183.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,343,979.66	12,986,759.32	13,656,041.22
Equity Value (M)	14,526,404.47	15,238,606.97	15,979,254.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	9,019.38	9,019.38	9,019.38
Fair Value	$1,610.58	$1,689.54	$1,771.66
Upside / Downside	107.82%	118.01%	128.60%

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Financial Statements

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PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk (SMCB.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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