Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Steadfast Group Limited (SDF.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.53 - $103.41$96.91
Multi-Stage$14.89 - $16.28$15.57
Blended Fair Value$56.24
Current Price$6.01
Upside835.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS22.11%27.26%0.230.160.120.100.060.080.070.060.050.04
YoY Growth--48.01%27.93%21.78%76.02%-33.11%16.72%14.42%21.50%46.57%72.53%
Dividend Yield--3.82%2.53%2.02%1.99%1.29%2.52%2.13%2.26%1.96%1.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)562.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)282.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)280.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.5870.3642.22
Cash Retained (M)280.30280.30280.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.58-70.36-42.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.72209.94238.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,082.501,082.501,082.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39.53$96.91$103.41
Upside / Downside557.77%1,512.56%1,620.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)562.90599.49638.46679.95724.15771.22794.36
Payout Ratio50.20%58.16%66.12%74.08%82.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)282.60348.68422.16503.72594.10694.10734.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)323.99327.06330.13
Year 2 PV (M)364.49371.43378.44
Year 3 PV (M)404.11415.71427.53
Year 4 PV (M)442.87459.90477.42
Year 5 PV (M)480.78504.00528.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,097.7214,778.6515,485.63
Equity Value (M)16,113.9716,856.7617,627.27
Shares Outstanding (M)1,082.501,082.501,082.50
Fair Value$14.89$15.57$16.28
Upside / Downside147.68%159.10%170.95%

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