Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.30 - $102.52$80.18
Multi-Stage$85.97 - $94.33$90.07
Blended Fair Value$85.12
Current Price$79.46
Upside7.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.002.371.933.11
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%22.46%-37.72%-24.22%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.39%5.43%10.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.859.915.94
Cash Retained (M)61.0261.0261.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.85-9.91-5.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.1751.1155.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5814.5814.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.103.513.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.103.513.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.354.765.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.11%8.11%8.11%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Fair Value$62.30$80.18$102.52
Upside / Downside-21.60%0.90%29.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.2680.8982.5684.2685.9987.7690.39
Payout Ratio23.02%36.41%49.81%63.21%76.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.2429.4541.1253.2665.8778.9983.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.11%8.11%8.11%
Growth Rate1.06%2.06%3.06%
Year 1 PV (M)26.9827.2427.51
Year 2 PV (M)34.4935.1835.87
Year 3 PV (M)40.9242.1443.39
Year 4 PV (M)46.3548.2150.13
Year 5 PV (M)50.9053.4756.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,053.711,106.891,162.19
Equity Value (M)1,253.351,313.141,375.24
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5814.5814.58
Fair Value$85.97$90.07$94.33
Upside / Downside8.19%13.35%18.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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