Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Grupo SBF S.A. (SBFG3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.35 - $73.07$45.00
Multi-Stage$21.75 - $23.74$22.73
Blended Fair Value$33.86
Current Price$13.00
Upside160.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.140.120.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.80%15.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.05%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)335.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)208.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.0841.9325.16
Cash Retained (M)208.06208.06208.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.08-41.93-25.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.98166.13182.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)238.15238.15238.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.700.77
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.700.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.35$45.00$73.07
Upside / Downside133.45%246.13%462.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)335.42357.22380.44405.17431.50459.55473.34
Payout Ratio37.97%48.38%58.78%69.19%79.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.36172.81223.63280.33343.45413.60437.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)156.45157.94159.42
Year 2 PV (M)183.30186.79190.32
Year 3 PV (M)208.03214.00220.08
Year 4 PV (M)230.75239.62248.75
Year 5 PV (M)251.58263.73276.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,150.424,350.884,559.02
Equity Value (M)5,180.535,412.965,653.94
Shares Outstanding (M)238.15238.15238.15
Fair Value$21.75$22.73$23.74
Upside / Downside67.33%74.84%82.62%

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