DDM Analysis: SAMTEL.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.43 - $0.55	$0.49
Multi-Stage	$1.07 - $1.19	$1.13
Blended Fair Value	$0.81
Current Price	$4.54
Upside	-82.14%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-38.10%	-23.19%	0.05	0.19	0.11	0.00	0.32	0.55	0.33	0.25	0.25	0.65
YoY Growth	-	-	-73.69%	72.75%	0.00%	-100.00%	-41.82%	66.67%	32.00%	0.00%	-61.54%	-7.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.90%	6.09%	2.50%	0.00%	4.64%	11.13%	3.75%	2.43%	1.84%	4.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	111.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	92.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18.46

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.23	13.89	8.34
Cash Retained (M)	18.46	18.46	18.46
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.23	-13.89	-8.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.77	4.56	10.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	618.00	618.00	618.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.16	0.17
WACC / Discount Rate	8.64%	8.64%	8.64%
Growth Rate	-18.62%	-17.62%	-16.62%
Fair Value	$0.43	$0.49	$0.55
Upside / Downside	-90.54%	-89.13%	-87.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	111.15	91.57	75.44	62.15	51.20	42.18	43.44
Payout Ratio	83.39%	84.72%	86.04%	87.36%	88.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	92.70	77.57	64.90	54.29	45.40	37.96	40.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.64%	8.64%	8.64%
Growth Rate	-18.62%	-17.62%	-16.62%
Year 1 PV (M)	70.54	71.40	72.27
Year 2 PV (M)	53.66	54.99	56.33
Year 3 PV (M)	40.81	42.34	43.90
Year 4 PV (M)	31.03	32.59	34.20
Year 5 PV (M)	23.59	25.08	26.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)	442.64	470.52	499.77
Equity Value (M)	662.28	696.91	733.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	618.00	618.00	618.00
Fair Value	$1.07	$1.13	$1.19
Upside / Downside	-76.40%	-75.16%	-73.87%

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Samart Telcoms Public Company Limited (SAMTEL.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener