Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

S 11 Group Public Company Limited (S11.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.66 - $6.94$5.74
Multi-Stage$8.69 - $9.57$9.13
Blended Fair Value$7.43
Current Price$2.96
Upside151.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.100.260.250.380.390.330.340.380.17
YoY Growth---100.00%-61.54%4.00%-34.21%-2.56%18.18%-2.94%-10.53%123.64%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.55%5.19%4.07%5.08%8.48%4.50%4.51%4.36%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1443.2125.93
Cash Retained (M)284.40284.40284.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.14-43.21-25.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)215.26241.19258.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.66$5.74$6.94
Upside / Downside57.32%94.08%134.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.70342.25338.82335.43332.08328.76338.62
Payout Ratio17.73%32.19%46.64%61.09%75.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.30110.15158.02204.93250.87295.88313.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)101.36102.39103.43
Year 2 PV (M)133.80136.55139.32
Year 3 PV (M)159.66164.60169.64
Year 4 PV (M)179.86187.31195.00
Year 5 PV (M)195.20205.36215.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,514.264,749.334,994.09
Equity Value (M)5,284.145,545.545,817.42
Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
Fair Value$8.69$9.13$9.57
Upside / Downside193.75%208.28%223.39%

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