Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPI-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.31 - $378.10$119.85
Multi-Stage$47.94 - $52.37$50.11
Blended Fair Value$84.98
Current Price$34.50
Upside146.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%6.64%1.681.281.931.291.301.271.361.311.100.91
YoY Growth--31.17%-33.59%49.10%-0.37%2.04%-6.66%3.85%19.55%20.16%3.39%
Dividend Yield--6.26%3.77%4.85%2.55%1.87%3.27%3.54%4.19%4.21%4.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.472.801.68
Cash Retained (M)3.843.843.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.47-2.80-1.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.641.042.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.090.19
LTM Dividend per Share1.621.621.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.090.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.711.81
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate4.64%5.64%6.64%
Fair Value$65.31$119.85$378.10
Upside / Downside89.32%247.38%995.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.3723.6324.9626.3727.8629.4330.31
Payout Ratio82.84%84.28%85.71%87.14%88.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.5319.9221.4022.9824.6726.4828.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate4.64%5.64%6.64%
Year 1 PV (M)18.4118.5918.76
Year 2 PV (M)18.2918.6418.99
Year 3 PV (M)18.1618.6819.22
Year 4 PV (M)18.0218.7219.44
Year 5 PV (M)17.8818.7519.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)456.59478.83501.93
Equity Value (M)547.35572.21598.00
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
Fair Value$47.94$50.11$52.37
Upside / Downside38.95%45.26%51.81%

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