DDM Analysis: ROK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$90.20 - $149.01	$116.27
Multi-Stage	$105.88 - $115.55	$110.63
Blended Fair Value	$113.45
Current Price	$349.53
Upside	-67.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	4.56%	5.38%	5.22	5.04	4.79	4.59	4.39	4.18	4.06	3.89	3.45	3.34
YoY Growth	-	-	3.50%	5.27%	4.43%	4.49%	5.14%	2.83%	4.31%	12.82%	3.31%	8.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.49%	1.76%	1.54%	1.78%	1.26%	1.67%	2.00%	2.59%	1.76%	2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	869.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	591.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	278.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	173.80	108.63	65.18
Cash Retained (M)	278.00	278.00	278.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-173.80	-108.63	-65.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	104.20	169.38	212.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	113.20	113.20	113.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.92	1.50	1.88
LTM Dividend per Share	5.22	5.22	5.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.92	1.50	1.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.14	6.72	7.10
WACC / Discount Rate	9.55%	9.55%	9.55%
Growth Rate	2.56%	3.56%	4.56%
Fair Value	$90.20	$116.27	$149.01
Upside / Downside	-74.19%	-66.73%	-57.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	869.00	899.97	932.05	965.26	999.66	1,035.29	1,066.35
Payout Ratio	68.01%	72.41%	76.81%	81.20%	85.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	591.00	651.65	715.86	783.83	855.73	931.76	986.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.55%	9.55%	9.55%
Growth Rate	2.56%	3.56%	4.56%
Year 1 PV (M)	589.11	594.86	600.60
Year 2 PV (M)	585.06	596.53	608.10
Year 3 PV (M)	579.14	596.24	613.68
Year 4 PV (M)	571.59	594.21	617.49
Year 5 PV (M)	562.65	590.62	619.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,098.04	9,550.31	10,020.38
Equity Value (M)	11,985.59	12,522.76	13,079.95
Shares Outstanding (M)	113.20	113.20	113.20
Fair Value	$105.88	$110.63	$115.55
Upside / Downside	-69.71%	-68.35%	-66.94%

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Financial Statements

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Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener