Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rand Mining Limited (RND.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.00 - $2.77$2.38
Multi-Stage$2.90 - $3.17$3.03
Blended Fair Value$2.71
Current Price$1.81
Upside49.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.11%0.00%0.100.100.100.100.110.111.430.060.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-5.44%0.00%-92.59%2,300.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.53%6.62%8.26%7.58%7.29%5.13%42.62%2.20%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.962.471.48
Cash Retained (M)8.428.428.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.96-2.47-1.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.465.956.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.8756.8756.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate11.64%11.64%11.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.00$2.38$2.77
Upside / Downside10.51%31.76%52.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.7919.6019.4019.2119.0118.8219.39
Payout Ratio57.47%63.97%70.48%76.99%83.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.3812.5413.6714.7915.8816.9417.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.64%11.64%11.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.1211.2311.34
Year 2 PV (M)10.7510.9711.19
Year 3 PV (M)10.3110.6310.95
Year 4 PV (M)9.8110.2210.64
Year 5 PV (M)9.299.7710.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)113.74119.66125.82
Equity Value (M)165.01172.47180.22
Shares Outstanding (M)56.8756.8756.87
Fair Value$2.90$3.03$3.17
Upside / Downside60.29%67.54%75.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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