Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$158.99 - $264.92$205.68
Multi-Stage$251.17 - $275.94$263.32
Blended Fair Value$234.50
Current Price$311.97
Upside-24.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.28%2.44%3.193.083.142.380.793.233.022.572.612.69
YoY Growth--3.34%-1.87%32.20%201.20%-75.58%6.92%17.43%-1.46%-3.06%7.59%
Dividend Yield--1.15%1.76%2.55%2.62%0.65%4.77%2.66%2.05%3.54%2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)854.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)646.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)170.86106.7964.07
Cash Retained (M)646.10646.10646.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-170.86-106.79-64.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)475.24539.31582.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.1063.1063.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.538.559.22
LTM Dividend per Share3.303.303.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.538.559.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8311.8512.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Fair Value$158.99$205.68$264.92
Upside / Downside-49.04%-34.07%-15.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)854.30866.61879.11891.78904.63917.67945.20
Payout Ratio24.37%37.50%50.62%63.75%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.20324.95445.03568.49695.43825.90874.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate0.44%1.44%2.44%
Year 1 PV (M)299.90302.89305.87
Year 2 PV (M)379.06386.65394.31
Year 3 PV (M)446.90460.38474.13
Year 4 PV (M)504.55524.94545.95
Year 5 PV (M)553.02581.10610.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,665.6514,359.6115,081.48
Equity Value (M)15,849.0916,615.5817,412.07
Shares Outstanding (M)63.1063.1063.10
Fair Value$251.17$263.32$275.94
Upside / Downside-19.49%-15.59%-11.55%

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