Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rent-A-Center, Inc. (RCII)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.49 - $45.73$35.54
Multi-Stage$29.81 - $32.46$31.11
Blended Fair Value$33.33
Current Price$26.78
Upside24.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.12%5.39%1.450.001.391.261.110.240.000.230.450.90
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%10.74%13.29%360.49%0.00%-100.00%-49.87%-49.90%4.83%
Dividend Yield--5.41%0.00%5.20%4.99%1.93%1.71%0.00%2.61%5.07%5.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.9316.219.72
Cash Retained (M)25.9625.9625.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.93-16.21-9.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.039.7516.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.8556.8556.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.821.821.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.170.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.822.002.11
WACC / Discount Rate10.26%10.26%10.26%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Fair Value$27.49$35.54$45.73
Upside / Downside2.66%32.71%70.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.65135.34141.29147.50153.99160.75165.58
Payout Ratio79.98%81.98%83.99%85.99%88.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.69110.96118.67126.84135.50144.68153.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.26%10.26%10.26%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Year 1 PV (M)99.68100.64101.60
Year 2 PV (M)95.7697.6299.50
Year 3 PV (M)91.9494.6397.38
Year 4 PV (M)88.2391.6995.26
Year 5 PV (M)84.6288.8093.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,234.601,295.471,358.72
Equity Value (M)1,694.831,768.851,845.58
Shares Outstanding (M)56.8556.8556.85
Fair Value$29.81$31.11$32.46
Upside / Downside11.32%16.18%21.22%

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