Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Rogers Communications Inc. (RCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$466.52 - $2,419.40$944.64
Multi-Stage$559.36 - $614.86$586.58
Blended Fair Value$765.61
Current Price$47.98
Upside1,495.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.17%-2.27%1.371.771.871.871.871.881.831.831.831.81
YoY Growth---23.02%-4.95%0.00%-0.10%-0.49%2.83%0.00%0.00%1.13%5.05%
Dividend Yield--3.55%3.22%2.98%2.63%3.23%3.22%2.55%3.17%3.10%3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,749.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)747.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,001.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,349.80843.63506.18
Cash Retained (M)6,001.146,001.146,001.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,349.80-843.63-506.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,651.345,157.525,494.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)541.01541.01541.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.609.5310.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.609.5310.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.9810.9211.54
WACC / Discount Rate5.03%5.03%5.03%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Fair Value$466.52$944.64$2,419.40
Upside / Downside872.33%1,868.81%4,942.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,749.007,007.807,276.527,555.557,845.288,146.128,390.51
Payout Ratio11.08%26.86%42.65%58.43%74.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)747.861,882.633,103.344,414.895,822.477,331.517,761.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.03%5.03%5.03%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Year 1 PV (M)1,775.131,792.401,809.66
Year 2 PV (M)2,759.052,812.972,867.41
Year 3 PV (M)3,700.983,810.003,921.14
Year 4 PV (M)4,602.234,783.884,970.84
Year 5 PV (M)5,464.125,735.016,016.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)284,318.94298,414.51313,063.67
Equity Value (M)302,620.45317,348.76332,649.27
Shares Outstanding (M)541.01541.01541.01
Fair Value$559.36$586.58$614.86
Upside / Downside1,065.81%1,122.55%1,181.50%

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