Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Qatar Islamic Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (QIBK.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.74 - $242.15$102.21
Multi-Stage$37.91 - $41.41$39.63
Blended Fair Value$70.92
Current Price$22.15
Upside220.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.29%9.32%0.980.630.580.400.520.500.500.480.420.42
YoY Growth--56.00%8.70%43.75%-23.81%5.00%0.00%5.26%11.76%0.00%6.25%
Dividend Yield--4.74%3.41%3.23%1.68%3.19%3.48%3.32%4.81%4.15%4.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,715.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,108.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)943.07589.42353.65
Cash Retained (M)2,606.372,606.372,606.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-943.07-589.42-353.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.302,016.952,252.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$59.74$102.21$242.15
Upside / Downside169.69%361.43%993.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,715.365,021.865,348.285,695.926,066.156,460.456,654.26
Payout Ratio44.73%53.78%62.84%71.89%80.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,108.992,700.793,360.624,094.824,910.265,814.416,155.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.32%8.32%8.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,469.952,493.362,516.77
Year 2 PV (M)2,810.682,864.222,918.26
Year 3 PV (M)3,132.013,221.923,313.53
Year 4 PV (M)3,434.713,566.793,702.66
Year 5 PV (M)3,719.523,899.174,085.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,020.9777,596.2181,308.29
Equity Value (M)89,587.8493,641.6897,845.21
Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
Fair Value$37.91$39.63$41.41
Upside / Downside71.17%78.91%86.95%

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