Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Quality Construction Products Public Company Limited (Q-CON.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.66 - $23.18$17.01
Multi-Stage$10.69 - $11.62$11.15
Blended Fair Value$14.08
Current Price$7.00
Upside101.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS75.54%14.87%1.000.750.310.460.180.060.030.000.140.14
YoY Growth--33.33%141.94%-32.61%155.56%200.00%100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-44.00%
Dividend Yield--12.46%5.15%2.05%7.44%2.89%1.31%0.61%0.00%2.53%2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)335.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.1641.9725.18
Cash Retained (M)75.8075.8075.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.16-41.97-25.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.6433.8250.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.90398.90398.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.080.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.080.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate11.11%11.11%11.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.66$17.01$23.18
Upside / Downside80.89%143.05%231.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)335.80357.62380.87405.63431.99460.07473.87
Payout Ratio77.43%79.94%82.46%84.97%87.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.00285.89314.05344.66377.93414.06438.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.11%11.11%11.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)254.89257.30259.72
Year 2 PV (M)249.63254.38259.18
Year 3 PV (M)244.25251.26258.41
Year 4 PV (M)238.78247.96257.41
Year 5 PV (M)233.24244.50256.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,044.143,191.183,343.84
Equity Value (M)4,264.934,446.594,634.75
Shares Outstanding (M)398.90398.90398.90
Fair Value$10.69$11.15$11.62
Upside / Downside52.74%59.25%65.98%

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