DDM Analysis: PUB.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,118.67 - $2,496.15	$2,339.26
Multi-Stage	$821.75 - $900.96	$860.62
Blended Fair Value	$1,599.94
Current Price	$95.68
Upside	1,572.18%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.51%	22.62%	3.37	2.87	0.33	0.90	0.40	1.13	0.83	0.67	0.76	0.95
YoY Growth	-	-	17.49%	772.60%	-63.35%	122.55%	-64.21%	35.71%	23.53%	-11.92%	-19.58%	116.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.28%	3.42%	0.55%	1.52%	0.99%	2.79%	1.66%	1.22%	1.16%	1.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,173.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,579.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,594.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	634.60	396.63	237.98
Cash Retained (M)	1,594.00	1,594.00	1,594.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-634.60	-396.63	-237.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	959.40	1,197.38	1,356.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	252.80	252.80	252.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.80	4.74	5.36
LTM Dividend per Share	6.25	6.25	6.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.80	4.74	5.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.04	10.98	11.61
WACC / Discount Rate	4.61%	4.61%	4.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2,118.67	$2,339.26	$2,496.15
Upside / Downside	2,114.33%	2,344.88%	2,508.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,173.00	3,379.25	3,598.90	3,832.82	4,081.96	4,347.28	4,477.70
Payout Ratio	49.76%	57.81%	65.86%	73.91%	81.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,579.00	1,953.57	2,370.17	2,832.67	3,345.28	3,912.56	4,141.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.61%	4.61%	4.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,849.92	1,867.45	1,884.99
Year 2 PV (M)	2,125.33	2,165.81	2,206.67
Year 3 PV (M)	2,405.28	2,474.32	2,544.68
Year 4 PV (M)	2,689.83	2,793.27	2,899.67
Year 5 PV (M)	2,979.04	3,122.93	3,272.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	195,689.55	205,141.43	214,955.06
Equity Value (M)	207,738.94	217,565.22	227,763.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	252.80	252.80	252.80
Fair Value	$821.75	$860.62	$900.96
Upside / Downside	758.85%	799.48%	841.64%

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Publicis Groupe S.A. (PUB.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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