DDM Analysis: PST.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$177.25 - $328.74	$308.04
Multi-Stage	$85.18 - $93.42	$89.22
Blended Fair Value	$198.63
Current Price	$20.19
Upside	883.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.52%	8.83%	0.90	0.68	0.62	0.51	0.47	0.60	0.42	0.39	0.34	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	31.94%	10.24%	21.00%	7.99%	-20.80%	40.98%	7.86%	14.64%	77.60%	-50.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.48%	5.92%	6.58%	4.96%	4.37%	7.75%	4.90%	5.30%	5.49%	2.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,166.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,409.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	757.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	433.20	270.75	162.45
Cash Retained (M)	757.00	757.00	757.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-433.20	-270.75	-162.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	323.80	486.25	594.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,294.08	1,294.08	1,294.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.38	0.46
LTM Dividend per Share	1.09	1.09	1.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.38	0.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.34	1.46	1.55
WACC / Discount Rate	4.95%	4.95%	4.95%
Growth Rate	4.17%	5.17%	6.17%
Fair Value	$177.25	$308.04	$328.74
Upside / Downside	777.89%	1,425.72%	1,528.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,166.00	2,277.90	2,395.58	2,519.33	2,649.48	2,786.36	2,869.95
Payout Ratio	65.05%	70.04%	75.03%	80.02%	85.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,409.00	1,595.45	1,797.41	2,015.98	2,252.33	2,507.72	2,654.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.95%	4.95%	4.95%
Growth Rate	4.17%	5.17%	6.17%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,505.71	1,520.16	1,534.61
Year 2 PV (M)	1,600.88	1,631.77	1,662.95
Year 3 PV (M)	1,694.54	1,743.82	1,794.04
Year 4 PV (M)	1,786.71	1,856.32	1,927.94
Year 5 PV (M)	1,877.41	1,969.27	2,064.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	101,762.70	106,742.03	111,914.39
Equity Value (M)	110,227.95	115,463.36	120,898.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,294.08	1,294.08	1,294.08
Fair Value	$85.18	$89.22	$93.42
Upside / Downside	321.88%	341.92%	362.72%

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Poste Italiane S.p.A. (PST.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener