Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PSC Insurance Group Limited (PSI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.09 - $62.61$58.67
Multi-Stage$8.37 - $9.14$8.75
Blended Fair Value$33.71
Current Price$6.04
Upside458.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.42%0.00%0.140.120.100.080.060.050.040.030.020.00
YoY Growth--15.54%21.55%29.75%22.50%18.20%19.76%57.08%32.90%392.65%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.33%2.21%2.42%2.18%2.48%2.12%1.55%1.25%1.24%0.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.5814.118.47
Cash Retained (M)18.9518.9518.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.58-14.11-8.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.634.8310.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)358.69358.69358.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.280.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.09$58.67$62.61
Upside / Downside199.55%871.39%936.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.92120.26128.07136.40145.27154.71159.35
Payout Ratio83.22%84.58%85.93%87.29%88.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.97101.71110.06119.06128.77139.24147.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.97%6.97%6.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94.1995.0895.97
Year 2 PV (M)94.3996.1898.00
Year 3 PV (M)94.5697.27100.04
Year 4 PV (M)94.7198.35102.10
Year 5 PV (M)94.8499.42104.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,529.852,652.042,778.91
Equity Value (M)3,002.543,138.363,279.20
Shares Outstanding (M)358.69358.69358.69
Fair Value$8.37$8.75$9.14
Upside / Downside38.59%44.86%51.36%

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