Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.69 - $5.56$4.58
Multi-Stage$7.77 - $8.52$8.14
Blended Fair Value$6.36
Current Price$12.27
Upside-48.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.001.050.000.190.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%6.54%0.00%1.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.811.761.05
Cash Retained (M)1.361.361.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.81-1.76-1.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.45-0.400.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.4132.4132.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.69$4.58$5.56
Upside / Downside-69.92%-62.71%-54.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.0513.9113.7713.6313.5013.3613.76
Payout Ratio90.32%90.25%90.19%90.13%90.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6912.5612.4212.2912.1612.0312.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.5911.7111.83
Year 2 PV (M)10.5910.8111.03
Year 3 PV (M)9.679.9710.28
Year 4 PV (M)8.849.209.58
Year 5 PV (M)8.078.498.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)203.04213.62224.62
Equity Value (M)251.81263.80276.27
Shares Outstanding (M)32.4132.4132.41
Fair Value$7.77$8.14$8.52
Upside / Downside-36.69%-33.67%-30.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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