Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Prima Marine Public Company Limited (PRM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.01 - $191.44$179.41
Multi-Stage$28.92 - $31.65$30.26
Blended Fair Value$104.83
Current Price$6.90
Upside1,419.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.54%0.00%0.510.380.290.280.230.220.110.430.200.28
YoY Growth--33.75%29.66%3.83%23.81%5.00%100.00%-74.52%109.47%-28.29%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.79%4.98%4.03%4.76%2.82%5.00%1.65%4.78%2.55%3.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,208.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,102.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,106.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)441.76276.10165.66
Cash Retained (M)1,106.601,106.601,106.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-441.76-276.10-165.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)664.85830.50940.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,294.562,294.562,294.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.360.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.360.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$86.01$179.41$191.44
Upside / Downside1,146.58%2,500.11%2,674.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,208.782,352.352,505.252,668.092,841.523,026.223,117.01
Payout Ratio49.90%57.92%65.94%73.96%81.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,102.181,362.481,651.961,973.322,329.482,723.602,883.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,267.971,279.991,292.01
Year 2 PV (M)1,430.731,457.981,485.49
Year 3 PV (M)1,590.511,636.171,682.69
Year 4 PV (M)1,747.331,814.531,883.65
Year 5 PV (M)1,901.251,993.082,088.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)58,431.0461,253.2864,183.53
Equity Value (M)66,368.8369,435.0372,615.80
Shares Outstanding (M)2,294.562,294.562,294.56
Fair Value$28.92$30.26$31.65
Upside / Downside319.19%338.56%358.65%

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