Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Primerica, Inc. (PRI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$566.27 - $1,747.15$904.90
Multi-Stage$370.09 - $404.61$387.04
Blended Fair Value$645.97
Current Price$277.59
Upside132.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.38%15.58%3.402.822.522.251.941.731.331.081.000.99
YoY Growth--20.38%11.85%12.26%15.99%11.65%30.56%23.22%7.35%1.71%23.74%
Dividend Yield--1.19%1.12%1.46%1.64%1.31%1.96%1.06%1.12%1.22%2.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)721.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)588.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)144.2590.1654.09
Cash Retained (M)588.29588.29588.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-144.25-90.16-54.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)444.04498.13534.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.2333.2333.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.3614.9916.08
LTM Dividend per Share4.004.004.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.3614.9916.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.3718.9920.08
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$566.27$904.90$1,747.15
Upside / Downside103.99%225.99%529.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)721.26768.14818.07871.24927.88988.191,017.83
Payout Ratio18.44%32.75%47.06%61.37%75.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.97251.56385.00534.72702.28889.37941.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)229.18231.35233.52
Year 2 PV (M)319.54325.62331.77
Year 3 PV (M)404.32415.92427.75
Year 4 PV (M)483.77502.37521.51
Year 5 PV (M)558.14585.09613.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,301.6310,799.2011,315.82
Equity Value (M)12,296.5712,859.5713,443.45
Shares Outstanding (M)33.2333.2333.23
Fair Value$370.09$387.04$404.61
Upside / Downside33.32%39.43%45.76%

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