Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Permian Resources Corporation (PR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.36 - $46.71$30.65
Multi-Stage$16.13 - $17.58$16.85
Blended Fair Value$23.75
Current Price$12.80
Upside85.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%65.38%0.630.190.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--228.94%883.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.55%1.08%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)812.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)429.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)382.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.46101.5460.92
Cash Retained (M)382.61382.61382.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.46-101.54-60.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)220.14281.07321.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)740.41740.41740.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.380.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.380.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.36$30.65$46.71
Upside / Downside66.86%139.47%264.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)812.32865.12921.35981.241,045.021,112.951,146.34
Payout Ratio52.90%60.32%67.74%75.16%82.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)429.71521.84624.12737.50862.981,001.651,060.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.84%9.84%9.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)470.65475.11479.57
Year 2 PV (M)507.68517.35527.11
Year 3 PV (M)541.06556.59572.42
Year 4 PV (M)571.01592.97615.55
Year 5 PV (M)597.75626.62656.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,257.509,704.6410,168.89
Equity Value (M)11,945.6412,473.2713,020.14
Shares Outstanding (M)740.41740.41740.41
Fair Value$16.13$16.85$17.58
Upside / Downside26.04%31.61%37.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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