Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pinthong Industrial Park Property Fund (PPF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.38 - $10.93$9.08
Multi-Stage$14.29 - $15.67$14.97
Blended Fair Value$12.02
Current Price$10.30
Upside16.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.740.690.720.740.670.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.97%-4.09%-2.70%10.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.20%6.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7126.0715.64
Cash Retained (M)39.4439.4439.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.71-26.07-15.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.2713.3723.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.51224.51224.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.38$9.08$10.93
Upside / Downside-28.32%-11.86%6.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.54206.45204.39202.34200.32198.32204.27
Payout Ratio81.09%82.87%84.65%86.44%88.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.10171.09173.02174.90176.72178.49188.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)157.01158.62160.22
Year 2 PV (M)145.73148.71151.73
Year 3 PV (M)135.19139.37143.63
Year 4 PV (M)125.36130.55135.91
Year 5 PV (M)116.20122.25128.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,529.412,661.122,798.26
Equity Value (M)3,208.893,360.623,518.31
Shares Outstanding (M)224.51224.51224.51
Fair Value$14.29$14.97$15.67
Upside / Downside38.77%45.33%52.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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