Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Port of Tauranga Limited (POT.NZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.16 - $11.77$8.42
Multi-Stage$6.47 - $7.05$6.75
Blended Fair Value$7.58
Current Price$6.85
Upside10.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.02%4.40%0.160.150.150.140.120.180.180.170.160.11
YoY Growth--6.07%-1.34%7.15%12.91%-32.24%1.67%6.45%5.62%50.94%3.92%
Dividend Yield--2.29%3.07%2.40%2.25%1.76%2.37%2.86%3.31%3.59%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)264.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)248.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.8433.0319.82
Cash Retained (M)15.9215.9215.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.84-33.03-19.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-36.93-17.11-3.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)681.68681.68681.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate3.64%4.64%5.64%
Fair Value$6.16$8.42$11.77
Upside / Downside-10.07%22.86%71.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)264.22276.49289.33302.76316.82331.53341.48
Payout Ratio93.98%93.18%92.39%91.59%90.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)248.30257.64267.30277.30287.66298.38315.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate3.64%4.64%5.64%
Year 1 PV (M)234.40236.67238.93
Year 2 PV (M)221.27225.56229.89
Year 3 PV (M)208.85214.95221.17
Year 4 PV (M)197.11204.83212.78
Year 5 PV (M)186.02195.17204.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,360.293,525.563,697.26
Equity Value (M)4,407.954,602.744,804.71
Shares Outstanding (M)681.68681.68681.68
Fair Value$6.47$6.75$7.05
Upside / Downside-5.60%-1.43%2.90%

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