Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Wilson Sons S.A. (PORT3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.65 - $301.65$163.44
Multi-Stage$36.33 - $39.67$37.97
Blended Fair Value$100.70
Current Price$18.25
Upside451.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.59%20.74%1.070.650.630.090.640.260.270.280.260.26
YoY Growth--65.14%3.11%622.28%-86.52%147.21%-4.76%-1.05%5.86%0.66%60.01%
Dividend Yield--6.27%3.90%7.47%1.02%6.65%2.69%2.82%2.85%2.69%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)672.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)494.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)178.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)134.4884.0550.43
Cash Retained (M)178.28178.28178.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-134.48-84.05-50.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.8094.23127.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)443.30443.30443.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.210.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.210.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.331.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$68.65$163.44$301.65
Upside / Downside276.16%795.58%1,552.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)672.39716.10762.64812.22865.01921.24948.87
Payout Ratio73.49%76.79%80.09%83.39%86.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)494.11549.88610.81677.34749.94829.11877.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)507.35512.16516.97
Year 2 PV (M)519.99529.89539.89
Year 3 PV (M)532.02547.30562.86
Year 4 PV (M)543.49564.39585.89
Year 5 PV (M)554.39581.17608.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,445.9014,095.3414,769.64
Equity Value (M)16,103.1516,830.2517,584.22
Shares Outstanding (M)443.30443.30443.30
Fair Value$36.33$37.97$39.67
Upside / Downside99.05%108.03%117.35%

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