Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. (PNFP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$206.40 - $616.86$326.91
Multi-Stage$134.94 - $147.58$141.14
Blended Fair Value$234.03
Current Price$93.79
Upside149.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.73%19.73%0.890.890.880.720.640.650.590.460.320.24
YoY Growth--0.40%0.80%22.86%12.38%-0.88%9.62%26.59%45.22%35.06%60.62%
Dividend Yield--0.84%1.07%1.60%0.78%0.72%1.72%1.04%0.72%0.48%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)623.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)549.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.7177.9546.77
Cash Retained (M)549.71549.71549.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.71-77.95-46.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)425.00471.77502.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.2377.2377.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.506.116.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.506.116.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.467.067.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$206.40$326.91$616.86
Upside / Downside120.07%248.55%557.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)623.57664.11707.27753.24802.21854.35879.98
Payout Ratio11.84%27.48%43.11%58.74%74.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.86182.47304.88442.44596.59768.91813.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)166.13167.71169.28
Year 2 PV (M)252.74257.55262.41
Year 3 PV (M)333.93343.52353.29
Year 4 PV (M)409.97425.73441.95
Year 5 PV (M)481.08504.32528.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,778.379,202.379,642.60
Equity Value (M)10,422.2210,901.2011,397.97
Shares Outstanding (M)77.2377.2377.23
Fair Value$134.94$141.14$147.58
Upside / Downside43.88%50.49%57.35%

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