Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Plan B Media Public Company Limited (PLANB.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.62 - $32.82$13.21
Multi-Stage$4.79 - $5.23$5.01
Blended Fair Value$9.11
Current Price$4.92
Upside85.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.01%11.57%0.190.070.000.000.130.160.040.030.060.03
YoY Growth--173.69%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-19.95%324.68%29.50%-50.05%109.25%-57.29%
Dividend Yield--3.57%0.82%0.00%0.00%1.76%5.43%0.59%0.51%0.97%0.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,067.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)500.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)567.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)213.58133.4980.09
Cash Retained (M)567.60567.60567.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-213.58-133.49-80.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)354.02434.11487.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,298.984,298.984,298.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.62$13.21$32.82
Upside / Downside54.81%168.44%566.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,067.921,137.331,211.261,289.991,373.841,463.141,507.03
Payout Ratio46.85%55.48%64.11%72.74%81.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)500.32630.99776.53938.341,117.891,316.821,394.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.25%8.25%8.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)577.41582.88588.36
Year 2 PV (M)650.26662.65675.15
Year 3 PV (M)719.04739.68760.71
Year 4 PV (M)783.89814.04845.04
Year 5 PV (M)844.98885.79928.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,029.3917,851.9118,705.92
Equity Value (M)20,604.9721,536.9622,503.35
Shares Outstanding (M)4,298.984,298.984,298.98
Fair Value$4.79$5.01$5.23
Upside / Downside-2.58%1.82%6.39%

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