Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PIMCO Income Strategy Fund II (PFN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.84 - $28.62$23.43
Multi-Stage$40.40 - $44.38$42.35
Blended Fair Value$32.89
Current Price$7.39
Upside345.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.74%0.00%0.780.740.690.610.700.650.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.14%7.34%12.35%-12.24%7.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.51%10.30%9.54%7.73%6.34%7.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)195.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.0924.4314.66
Cash Retained (M)53.0753.0753.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.09-24.43-14.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.9828.6438.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.9190.9190.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.310.42
LTM Dividend per Share1.571.571.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.310.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.721.881.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.95%6.95%6.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.84$23.43$28.62
Upside / Downside154.90%217.08%287.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)195.46193.51191.57189.66187.76185.88191.46
Payout Ratio72.85%76.28%79.71%83.14%86.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.40147.61152.70157.68162.54167.30177.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.95%6.95%6.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)136.62138.02139.41
Year 2 PV (M)130.82133.51136.22
Year 3 PV (M)125.04128.90132.85
Year 4 PV (M)119.30124.25129.34
Year 5 PV (M)113.65119.57125.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,047.413,206.093,371.32
Equity Value (M)3,672.843,850.334,034.87
Shares Outstanding (M)90.9190.9190.91
Fair Value$40.40$42.35$44.38
Upside / Downside446.67%473.09%500.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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